Amanda Anisimova vs Aryna Sabalenka Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

• Second Serve Performance: In recent months, Sabalenka has a slight edge on her second serve, winning 40.09% of points compared to Anisimova's 39.89%. Which stat holds more weight for your prediction?
• Return Game: Sabalenka also outshines Anisimova on returning second serves with a 48.05% win rate, compared to Anisimova's 47.78%. However, Anisimova has the upper hand on first serve returns with 31.57% over Sabalenka's 29.34%.
• Break Point Pressure: Sabalenka handles high-pressure situations slightly better, saving 52.44% of break points, compared to Anisimova's 51.01%.
• Overall Performance: Over the past year, Sabalenka boasts an impressive win rate of 83.54%, whereas Anisimova has won 71.67% of her matches.
• Surface Proficiency: Sabalenka excels on hard courts with a 74% win rate, whereas Anisimova performs best on grass with a 68% win rate.
• Masters Series Experience: Sabalenka has played more matches in the Masters series, winning 80.95%, compared to Anisimova's 61.9% in the same tier.
• Direct Head-to-Head: Anisimova leads their head-to-head matches, winning 6 of their 9 encounters.
• Deciding Sets Analysis: Historically, Anisimova has come through more often in deciding sets against Sabalenka, winning 3 out of 4.
• Opponent Rankings: Sabalenka has faced tougher competition with opponents averaging a rank of 46.76, in contrast to Anisimova's average opponent rank of 113.25.
• Break Point Conversion: Anisimova has been more effective in capitalizing on break points recently, with a conversion rate of 34.63% compared to Sabalenka's 31.46%.

Editorial Prediction (September 5, 2025, UTC):

As we analyze the upcoming match between Aryna Sabalenka and Amanda Anisimova, there are compelling arguments for both players. Sabalenka presents a stronger recent performance record, especially in high-pressure situations like break points and against higher-quality opponents. Her proficiency on hard courts also aligns with her highest career win rates.

Conversely, Anisimova has dominated their head-to-head encounters, securing six wins out of nine matches. She's particularly effective in converting break points and excels in deciding sets, where her confidence seems to peak.

Given Sabalenka's superior track record in overall performance and ability to succeed against stronger opponents, it seems she is slightly more poised to secure the win in this match, despite Anisimova's historical edge in their head-to-head battles.